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12 Jun 2020

Tattersalls Irish 2,000 Guineas (Group 1)

A cracking few days on the ENIGMA forum. 3 syndicate horses pencilled in for Royal Ascot and two class 4 handicap winners for the syndicates. Oleg, impressive at Pontefract in his prep for the stayers’ handicap at Goodwood, while Batchelor Boy romped in at Wolvy - both flagged at members.

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The Irish 2000 Guineas today.

With the turning nature of the Curragh Guineas mile, in this race it usually pays to be in the low numbered stalls, especially 1-3 (but 1-6 will do).

Juddmonte's hot favourite Siskin has a plumb birth in stall 2, but has the look of an endangered species surrounded by the Ballydoyle horde on all sides. He's never gone further than 6fl, and with stamina to prove going forwards to dominate, hoping to avoid trouble, looks off the agenda.

If he tucks in and takes a lead he stands to get trapped and be unable to time his run. Taking him on with a lively EW shot looks a solid play and here ROYAL LYTHAM fits the bill.

Miler pedigree

Last seen behind Siskin in the Phoenix Stakes, a running on 3rd after doing the donkey work, he only just failed to get back up for 2nd. They said his saddle slipped, but if it did you really wouldn't know it - although if that is true then he's done extra well.

Essentially, it seemed he was done for toe with his his stamina kicking in too late. He's by Gleneagles and the step up to a mile looks just the ticket. They've reached for the blinkers too; so it might be he just idled, but they are throwing everything at this today and that’s a good sign because he’s far from out of it.

You can see Royal Lytham bouncing out from stall 3 and sitting 1st or 2nd and getting first run. If he's ultimately done for a change of gears he should still be hard to knock out of the frame.

Also interesting to see Aiden O'Brien half-directing punters on to Armoury this morning, which feels like a smokescreen. Hills are offering 10/1 to 4 places about Royal Lytham which feels like a gift if you have an account. But with the new norm, I'll be relying on BSP.

6.40 Curragh, Royal Lytham 1pt win BSP, 1pt 3 places BSP

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